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Sports betting strategies Calculate the probability of an event using the formula: 20 for a draw and 5. The bookmaker cannot accurately assess the likelihood of an outcome, although analysts take into account many gaming and non-gaming factors. 25 for the away win. 25 for the first 100 bets. For example, some professional players prefer to bet on favorites and choose events with odds of 1. Ms = 4%: (1 - 1 / 1. faux saint laurent bag